Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.179170 0.206255 0.237329 0.275902 0.322894 0.378801 0.451121
2025-04-06 0.138184 0.172794 0.217095 0.279182 0.365996 0.486338 0.671936
2025-04-13 0.111771 0.148078 0.198329 0.275449 0.395622 0.584844 0.926388
2025-04-20 0.096543 0.133895 0.188958 0.280122 0.436240 0.712468 1.293890
2025-04-27 0.086133 0.124074 0.183055 0.287339 0.481730 0.865548 1.808015
2025-05-04 0.077931 0.115897 0.177643 0.293274 0.525965 1.035425 2.495719
2025-05-11 0.071694 0.109687 0.174036 0.301082 0.575979 1.242494 3.491186
2025-05-18 0.065920 0.103301 0.168850 0.304376 0.617341 1.451949 4.764690
2025-05-25 0.060850 0.097380 0.163435 0.305796 0.654901 1.674765 6.455756
2025-06-01 0.056137 0.091469 0.157073 0.303709 0.683217 1.889950 8.564361
2025-06-08 0.051746 0.085618 0.149958 0.298408 0.701465 2.086740 11.097245
2025-06-15 0.049319 0.083119 0.149109 0.307404 0.763763 2.498713 16.663222
2025-06-22 0.045713 0.078064 0.142493 0.301501 0.780932 2.751642 22.231102
2025-06-29 0.043343 0.075175 0.140076 0.305814 0.833705 3.229293 34.092062
2025-07-06 0.040579 0.071229 0.134869 0.301806 0.857404 3.594684 48.556828
2025-07-13 0.038770 0.069024 0.133215 0.307119 0.917950 4.259004 81.814382
2025-07-20 0.037307 0.067375 0.132595 0.315262 0.994361 5.161705 155.525462
2025-07-27 0.035870 0.065638 0.131536 0.321954 1.069493 6.218184 321.301926
2025-08-03 0.034661 0.064269 0.131173 0.330759 1.160145 7.642257 823.257795
2025-08-10 0.033271 0.062379 0.129306 0.334476 1.230482 9.092486 2354.911543
2025-08-17 0.031886 0.060379 0.126929 0.336080 1.292631 10.685242 8999.500681
2025-08-24 0.030424 0.058092 0.123569 0.333724 1.333832 12.196877 51711.262176
2025-08-31 0.028916 0.055588 0.119389 0.327744 1.352768 13.504199 747791.958678